Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.002154 0.002347 0.002540 0.002746 0.002962 0.003179 0.003413
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.001752 0.002037 0.002331 0.002655 0.003000 0.003357 0.003752
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001458 0.001811 0.002187 0.002613 0.003078 0.003567 0.004117
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001253 0.001663 0.002112 0.002632 0.003212 0.003832 0.004541
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001092 0.001547 0.002060 0.002668 0.003358 0.004107 0.004973
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000967 0.001460 0.002032 0.002724 0.003521 0.004396 0.005418
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000851 0.001373 0.001995 0.002762 0.003659 0.004655 0.005828
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000734 0.001274 0.001936 0.002768 0.003755 0.004863 0.006178
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000614 0.001158 0.001846 0.002731 0.003795 0.005002 0.006448
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000530 0.001081 0.001800 0.002741 0.003887 0.005198 0.006779
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000458 0.001014 0.001761 0.002755 0.003980 0.005393 0.007107
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000420 0.000992 0.001778 0.002837 0.004154 0.005682 0.007542
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000400 0.000999 0.001838 0.002979 0.004407 0.006072 0.008106
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000301 0.000869 0.001705 0.002872 0.004356 0.006103 0.008254
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000232 0.000778 0.001620 0.002822 0.004370 0.006210 0.008489
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000189 0.000727 0.001587 0.002837 0.004465 0.006412 0.008836
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000157 0.000688 0.001570 0.002872 0.004583 0.006642 0.009215
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000133 0.000662 0.001569 0.002927 0.004726 0.006902 0.009629
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000109 0.000629 0.001557 0.002966 0.004847 0.007134 0.010010
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000083 0.000585 0.001522 0.002972 0.004924 0.007311 0.010325
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000055 0.000525 0.001458 0.002932 0.004941 0.007413 0.010549
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000038 0.000489 0.001430 0.002942 0.005021 0.007592 0.010864
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000026 0.000457 0.001406 0.002957 0.005105 0.007775 0.011184